August 12, 2010

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LONGSHOTS: I donít want to tell you I told you so, but I told you so.
By†Dave Long dlong@hippopress.com

Hereís an assortment of random thoughts that have been piling up as the summer has moved along.

I donít know about you, but Iím to the point where I almost feel sorry for Tiger Woods. The guy finished 39 shots BEHIND the record he set on the same course 10 years ago at the Bridgestone Classic over the weekend. Itís like the gods have gotten together and said weíre going to teach this guy a lesson in humility. I mean Ebenezer Scrooge didnít even get it this bad in A Christmas Carol.

If Chris Bosh is so good, why did Toronto get to the playoffs just one time in his seven seasons north of the border?

After the way AD Mike Garrett mucked things up at USC with the Reggie Bush Heisman take back, the OJ Mayo debacle and the hiring/firing of the vastly overrated Tim (pink) Floyd to coach the hoop team, heís lucky they didnít take back HIS Heisman Trophy when they fired him.

Anyone out there who did think it when Theo signed him for big bucks still think John Lackey is a true number-one starter? Do I hear a number 2? Number 3? A number four? Hereís what I said about him in November ...

... Low costs for Dustin Pedroia, Jon Lester and Jacoby Ellsbury helped him (Theo) get John Lackey this week and that could lead to Clay Buchholz being the one to go for Adrian Gonzalez. Of course, Iíd rather trade Lackey and keep Buchholz ó who will be better than the newcomer by 2011. But thatís a story for another day that I just wanted to get on the record.

While I was on the right track for 2011, unless he hits a big bump Iím going to miss on Buchholz ó I had him at 14-9 with a ERA of 4.02 in 2010. So itís a little like what people used to tell Rodney Dangerfield when he went to them for directions ó ďyouíre WAY off!Ē And if you donít know who Rodney is, catch Caddyshack next time itís on TV or on-demand. Itís got all his good ones ó or check todayís glossary, where I list three.

I also said in that column .... ďAnd, as you probably know I think he (Theo) relies too much on the stat geek numbers, which has led to failure or vastly overpaying for free agents, as he did with Lackey and perhaps why Mike Cameron is the now the left fielder instead of Jason Bay.... Of course, in hitting .247 with just six homers and 47 runs batted in and now on the DL with a concussion, Bay hasnít exactly made Mets fans forget Cleon Jones either.

But having said that, am I the only who thinks itís ironic that the reason Theo didnít sign Bay is he insisted on a non-guaranteed injury protected fourth year and the guy he got to replace him ó Cameron ó already has lost nearly an entire year to injury? Wouldnít that have made Theo already even in the lost year department?

I say Josh Beckett spitting the bit against the Yankees on Sunday was the worst loss of the year because they really needed him to be an ace in that one.

Not that thatís anything new when he pitches against the Yanks. Hereís the astonishing stat of the week, if not the decade. In 375 at-bats against Beckett with the Red Sox, New York is hitting .282. And no, thatís not a misprint. They are 148 for 375 and this year theyíre 33 for 58. Thatís a .363 clip ó which I know seems impossible. And for good measure going from 2010, when itís 11.17, down, his ERA each year as a Red Sox vs. NY after that is 5.34, 3.25, 4.39 and 9.46. Thatís 6.26 overall! So if the Yankees are Pedroís Daddy, what are they to Beckett? Zeus? But even with those unbelievable numbers, even more amazing is heís still won nine times against them and lost only seven times ó begging the question, who the heck is pitching for the Yanks?

Think Lance Armstrong feels the PED noose tightening around his neck? Hereís a tip: donít try the Marion Jones-like indignant the-best-defense-is-a-good-offense approach. Thatís just ahead of 15 yearsí worth of Pete Rose ďI didnít do itĒ denials on the list of ones that are really hard to come clean from ó if you actually did do it.

You may recall I was one of the few not in love with last summerís signing of Rasheed Wallace ó which many thought was a no-brainer. So for what itís worth, I love bringing Shaq to Boston.

But I wonít say itís without risk, as it could be like when a kaput Artis Gilmore got here in 1988. But Iím betting itís more like when injury-plagued Bill Walton made a Joe Hardy-like pact with the Devil to have one last glorious, injury-free year in Boston in 1986. Hereís why. First: the Big Fella still commanded double teams from teams in the playoffs last year and they badly need a low post scorer. Second: on a per-minute basis he would have still been their best rebounder last year. Third: at 38, injury potential and attitude are the big question marks, but since heís making short money if he doesnít work out they can send him away when Perk comes back.

Oh ó hereís a fourth. Danny gets an A for maneuvering in tight spaces this summer and not just for what he got on the court. Because if Shaq does work out to where he and Perk can be the two-headed monster at center, it makes Jermaine OíNeal expendable at the trade deadline, and when you combine his contract with the expiring contract of Rasheed and maybe Nate Robinson, Danny will have around $15 million to throw into any deal to bring in another big-time player in the way the Lakers were able to fit Pao Gasol under their cap. Heís never had that since KG and Ray arrived.

It will move up to an A+ if he can get Delonte West to take the vets minimum to come back. Though since his mom is single Iím not sure how Ray Allen would feel about that. But with West on board the bench would be vastly superior to the last two years.

Not that I ever wanted to see him go, but remember if Tom Brady walks over his contract ó I was the guy saying in 2009 they should explore a Herschel Walker-like offer you canít refuse to accelerate the rebuilding of the defense thatís under way now.

At the moment Iíve got the Pats going 9-7.

Just so you donít think Iím trying to tell you Iím infallible ó I missed on Curtis Grandersonís impact with the Yanks, and on Jeremy Hermida and I had Tiger in the Masters ó which was again like Rodney looking for directions.

Dave Long can be reached at dlong@hippopress.com. He hosts Dave Long and Company from 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. each Saturday on WGAM – The Game, 1250-AM Manchester, 900-AM Nashua.


8/5/2010 Mailbag focuses on Pats, Sox and MLS all-star game

7/29/2010 Counting the way of managing a pitchers workload
7/22/2010 The rule of King George in Yankeeland ends after 37 years
7/15/2010 James gang steals the show
7/8/2010 Observations at baseballs midway point
7/1/2010 Danny's next trick needs to be pulling a rabbit out of his hat
6/24/2010 And baseball season finally kicks off
6/17/2010 NBA Finals schedule causing reporting issues
6/10/2010 Mood swings wildly in NBA finals
6/3/2010 LEssons learned from days gone by this week
5/27/2010 seven days in May filled with action
5/20/2010 The Cís saw something most didnít prior to current playoff run
5/13/2010 Anniversaries remind Reed and†Russell were two of a kind
5/6/2010 Sox have holes in early going
4/29/2010 Whirlwind weekend leads to whirlwind thoughts4/22/2010 NFL draft winds blow through Foxboro this week
4/15/2010 Five stories for the price of one on That Was the Week That Was
4/8/2010 The Nation makes a pitch for having best staff in baseball
4/1/2010 Offense the biggest question as Sox open 2010
3/25/2010 Dancing withthe stars in the NCAA tournament
3/18/2010 Mixed bag on Nomar's Red Sox retirement
3/11/2010 Are Sox spinning on the new move to defense
3/4/2010 Mail bags talks of Pats, Celts and the Olympics
2/25/2010 Tigers tail between his legs amid vast public attention
2/18/2010 This and that as the curtain goes up on other stuff besides football
2/11/2010 This and that as the curtain comes down on football
2/4/2010 Peyton's place in historical pecking order on the line Sunday
1/28/2010 The all-decade choices ó Part II
1/21/2010 The 2000s decade gets a last blast from the past
1/14/2010 Patriots marching toward an off-season rebuild
1/7/2010 Questions abound as second season arrives for Pats
12/31/2009 Numbers tell the story for 2009 in review
12/24/2009 Holiday presents for the sports naughty and nice
12/17/2009 Life can be like riding a tiger by the tail
12/10/2009 The mailbag beckons in a busy week
12/3/2009 Is hot stove turning into ho seat for Theo?
11/26/2009 Thanks and turkeys are the usual holiday fare this time of year
11/19/2009 Belichick's fourth-down cal lconfounds Patriot Nation
11/12/2009 the mid-year report for the NFL
11/05/2009 Ducks on the pond as Oregon drowns USC title hopes
10/29/2009 Run for the title looks in store for Celtics
10/22/2009 Mt. Rushmore of Patriots moments
10/15/2009 Changes I'd like to see happen
10/8/2009 Predictable ending to 2009 baseball prediction game
10/1/2009 Bay watch on for Sox MVP
9/24/2009 Pitch count police trigger another dreamlike episode
9/17/2009 The mailbags open for business
9/10/2009 Pats now see more clearly what needs to be done for '09
9/3/2009 On the shrink's couch in a near francoma
8/27/2009 Random thoughts and big refrigerator magnets
8/20/2009 Sixty-one years later and Ruth's still in the conversation8/13/2009 Empire strikes back during annual visit
8/6/2009 Ortiz and Manny's steroid story tests fans as well
7/30/2009 Trading places not as simple as "I'll take the old guy"7/23/2009 Mailbag delivers some interesting questions and answers
7/16/2009 Random thoughts for a lazy summer day
7/9/2009 Season's second half is when it'll get interesting for the Sox
7/2/2009 Declaring independence of how others play the game
6/25/2009 Finding the right plan is as easy as A, B, C with Celtics
6/18/2009 A great experience came in the Knick of time
6/11/2009 Ripping key to Rodney's broadcast success?
6/4/2009 The Mt. Rushmores of the red Sox-Yankees rivalry
5/28/2009 First-place Sox are making the grade
5/21/2009 NBA rivalries have no rival in other team sports
5/14/2009 Lying from baseball's Pinocchio prompts questions
5/7/2009 Celtics bull their way into round two ó finally!
4/30/2009 Tanked from the headlines, the Fenway series yanks it back
4/23/2009 Draft winds blow NFL teams to make interesting decisions
4/16/2009 Spring cleaning of a cluttered sports mind
4/9/2009 Red Sox Nation springs back to life
4/2/2009 Climbing sports Mt. Rushmore
3/26/2009 Mount Rushmore offerings and other spring thoughts
3/19/2009 B-Ball, Coach B and Baseball in the mailbag today
3/12/2009 Great talent a rush but not all it's cracked up to be
3/5/2009 In Bill we still trust?
2/26/2009 A mountain over this molehill
2/19/2009 Steroids muscle in on game's strength
2/12/2009 Bonner bombs away on Cs in garden party homecoming
2/5/2009 Nation's angst ends as V-Tek says what the heck and rejoins flock
1/29/2009 Super Bowl Sunday brings to mind past and present
1/22/2009 The elusive quality of greatness is the topic of the day
1/15/2009 Spring cleaning of the sports mind a little early
1/8/2009 Will hall have Rice on the menu come July
1/1/2009 Predictions and wants for the year ahead
12/25/2008 A look in the rear view mirror at 2008
12/18/2008 The Pats' playoff run and new Yankees contracts make big news
12/11/2008 Random thoughts and associations
12/4/2008 Pats should consider options when it comes to Cassel and Brady
11/27/2008 Putting the thanks in Thanksgiving
11/20/2008 News of the week has people talking
11/13/2008 Cassel's in the clouds compared to early expectations11/6/2008 Mail bag delivers some interesting questiont10/30/2008"Yankees Suck" - like mentality fuels political discontent10/23/2008 No ray of hope as season closes in Tampa Bay
10/16/2008 Going to the nines a thing of the past
10/9/2008 C-eeing some interesting stories unfold this week
10/2/2008 "How come?" is the main question of the day
9/25/2008 Observations on baseball in 2008
9/18/2008 If I were a QB, a DB, a stat geek or a soccer mom ...
9/11/2008 After disaster Brady's bunch won't pass on season
9/4/2008 Pats start off with high expectation and some concerns
8/28/2008 A race to the finish to take all month long
8/21/2008 National news items of interest for local folks
8/14/2008 A little of this and that from the good side of sports pile
8/7/2008 Manny happy returns from the Evil Empire
7/31/2008 Manny being Manny - the sequel Part XXXII
7/24/2008 Open the mail bag for some Red Sox questions
7/17/2008 Hall-worthy or not the latest question on Schilling
7/10/2008 Baseball season has actually started
7/03/2008 UL editorial in denial ó stop the presses
6/26/2008 Boston turnaround makes NBA green with envy
6/19/2008 Letters from the NBA finals
6/12/2008 A Father's Day letter to dad
6/5/2008 Twenty-one and six are the lucky numbers for the Cs
5/29/2008 Sometimes a bat is just a bat
5/22/2008 Some questions for folks right up there in the front row
5/15/2008 Numbers don't add up to supposed Fenway
5/8/2008 Cavalier attitude nearly derails first meeting with LeBron
5/1/2008 I'm so old,I remember ...
4/24/2008 Sox Line-ups, Celtics and ESPN investigations are in the mail bag
4/17/2008 Show me the way to that All-Star Game
4/10/2008 For C'ing a great time ahead as playoffs arrive this spring
4/3/2008 Bill James and the stats for 2008 ó Take Two
3/27/2008 Drowning in the NCAA office pool
3/20/2008 Whether forecast is right or not is the question
3/13/2008 Comment sparks wonder over just what I did
3/6/2008 New hires, new trades in pro sports
2/28/2008 Celtics issues far from black and white in the early days
2/21/2008 Congressional ineptitude muscles in on steroid hearings
2/14/2008 Basketball rounds into form under the cover of Pats football
2/7/2008 A giant win leaves Patriots fans feeling blue
1/31/2008 Foxboro lads earn pats on the back, and old Celtics mystique makes sense
1/24/2008 Mail bag asks about Rice, the hall and wild-eyed liberals
1/17/2008 Peyton manning the fort back home as Pats take on Chargers
1/10/2008 Grumpy old Dolphins are lost at sea on this one
1/3/2008 The primary concern is getting a clear picture
12/27/2007 The annual sports awards close out 2007
12/20/2007 Holiday gifts for the deserving and not so deserving
12/13/2007 Jets land in Foxboro as pat go number 14
12/06/2007 To include or not to include Ellsbury ó that is the questione
11/29/2007 Yanked from the sports pages in the Big Apple
11/22/2007 Here's what I'm thankful for at Thanksgiving
11/15/2007 Waiting game leads to a series of random thoughts
11/8/2007 OK ó it's week nine and I'm ready to talk
11/1/2007 Finally a little shut-eye for a sleep deprived nation
10/25/2007 A rocky mountain high for Red Sox Nation
10/18/2007 Time to go to the mailbag
10/112007 Who'd more popular, Patriots or Red Sox
10/4/2007 IA weekend chock full of nuts, chokes and great moments
9/27/2007 I hate to say I told you so...
9/20/2007 Media and fan bias shades the severity of sports crime
9/13/2007 All round baseball week starts with a look at leaders
9/6/2007 It's Superbowl or bust for Pats in 2007
8/30/2007 The race is on as baseball enters September
8/23/2007 Spine vs. lack of spine theme for school board debate
8/16/2007 Time for thoughts from the summer mailbag
8/9/2007 Will this three make it big in Boston?
8/2/2007 Trading places all in a day's work for Boston GMs
7/26/2007 Getting out of a slump; an ameteur golfer can feel Sox' pain
7/19/2007 Does second chance guarantee a great outcome?
7/12/2007 Masse still a honeymooner in local baseball culture
7/5/2007 Brown Monster a big Fisher Cat hit
6/28/2007 Rambling along with some random thoughts
6/21/2007 The future is now for the C's come Thursday night
6/14/2007 Homers create bonds among fans for generations
6/07/2007 Sox win by losing two of three this weekend
5/31/2007 Lutz of things to think about
5/24/2007 Down 2-0 Mís for playoff payoff
5/17/2007 Baseballs' conventional wisdom is for the birds
5/10/2007 The Rocket lands in Gotham during Monarchs' playoff break
5/3/2007 Raiders say "No Moss" in fight with talented wideout
4/26/2007 A little history on the ancient Sox and Yanks rivalry
4/19/2007 Lessons to be learned from Robinson, Monarchs and I-Man
4/12/2007 A few questions for the sports gods
4/5/2007 Stanton his case on a variety of current topics
3/29/2007 Sox spring back into action on Monday
3/22/2007 A guide for having fun on NCAA hockey weekend
3/15/2007 The madness of March kicks off on Thursday
3/8/2007 Jumping through hoops after an odd season
3/1/2007 A trip to the mail bag for Hippo Sports
2/22/2007 Six degrees of Muhammed Ali
2/15/2007 Monarchs rule as streak reaches 12
2/8/2007 Talking a good game ahead on all-sports WGAM
2/1/2007 Manning the Super Bowl watch more difficult in '07
1/25/2007 Winning and what else matters in college coaching
1/18/2007 ESPN polls are fanning the flames of national lunacy
1/11/2007 Patriots marching to MIami promised land
1/4/2007 Predictions for 2007
12/28/2006 REcognizing the best on the national front
12/21/2006 Present under the tree for all
12/14/2006 Mailbag open for busines at a time filled with questions
12/07/2006 Lions and Gators and Bears, oh my
11/30/2006 Does Fenway frankness roll to the negative side?
11/23/2006 Turkeys and thanks as the big day arrives
11/16/2006 Green-around-the-gills Celts looking to earn some respect
11/9/2006 Blame game reaches new local low
11/2/2006 A week of highs and lows in sport
10/26/2006 Curses! The U is foiled again
10/19/2006 Time for a trip to the sports mailbag
10/12/2006 U turns Granite Stare around on football
10/05/2006 James' gang riding into town to face the Celtics
09/28/2006 Words to describe a lost Red Sox season
09/21/2006 Football Friday can't stack up to Saturday
09/14/2006 A lesson to be learned in remembering a somber day
09/07/2006 Usual pat choice to win AFC East questioned
08/31/2006 Whining won't yank AL East away from NY
08/24/2006 Spring forward or fall behind for Sox
08/17/2006 Trash talking abounds in the Empire over Sox and Pats
08/10/2006 Monarchs call press conference to crown new leader
08/03/2006 Deadly Fenway duo leave mark on history
07/27/2006 Word of the wise gets lost in sports translation
07/20/2006 Looking beyond the Big Three
07/13/2006 Cream rises to the top of baseball talk at the Dot
07/06/2006 Greetings and salutations toThe Nation at mid-year
06/29/2006 Being dealt is a consequence of the trade
06/22/2006 A year later, Boudreau's cup runneth over
06/15/2006 See dogs and cats battle for a different fan experience
06/08/2006 Not Bad Anymore league makes a comeback
06/01/2006 Luck goes Sox way with Lowell in Massachusetts
05/25/2006 Pitching in to help the Sox trade a few places
05/18/2006 Going to school by cutting Red Sox payroll
05/11/2006 Columnist blows his mind; here are the results
05/04/2006 Yanks stormed Manchester 37 years ago this week
04/27/2006 Regular crowd nowhere to be found come playoff time
04/20/2006 Questions and answers from the mailbag
04/13/2006 Local sports teams spring into action
04/06/2006 Predictable Red Sox season lies ahead
03/30/2006 Analyzing this and that as Pats roster shrinks
03/23/2006 A week of following the bouncing balls
03/16/2006 The beginning of four days of basketball bliss
03/09/2006 Many miss the central point of the story
03/02/2006 Better late than never to jump through local hoops
02/23/2006 Celtic green means raw, not envy as it once did
02/16/2003 An issue that is all black and white
02/09/2006 Nomar curses from the UL's Sullivan
02/02/2006 Super memories from 40 years of watching the big game
01/26/2006 A certain uniformity to the inquiries in the mailbag
01/19/2006 Sudden end to Pats' season leave just one thing to do
01/12/2006 Pats on the back for the football team
01/05/2006 Predictions for Manchester Sports 2031
A lesson for Leo the Lip and nice guys everywhere

Chop House opening is Berra of good news
Event-filled weekend missed en route to evil empire
Heroís death lays to rest misuse of the word
Saint Theo ascends to new heights in The Nation
Santa sack filled to the brim with sports
Patriots march through injuries toward threepeat
Sports talk should be on the air
Stars shine brightest when winning is in the mix
The†Demonization of Johnny Damon
Thirty-seven topics and so little space
Too many holes in Sox for repeat
Trip to the injured list makes it a long weekend for local scribe
Turkeys and giving thanks take center stage this week
Yanked from the edge of your seat